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Cellular Capex 2010, Still in Crisis?

When almost all operators decreased their capital expenditure in 2009, how about this year 2010? Here are the data.

Telkom the biggest telecommunication operator will spend about IDR 2oT (more than  US$2b) for its capex, 65% 0f them (around US$ 1.3b) will be used by Telkomsel (the largest cellular operator). This figure is just below 2009 figure (US$1.5b). Telkomsel will focus on its  mobile broadband services. This service skyrocketed last year from 200,000 subscriber in 2008 to more than 1.6m in 2009. It increased for about 700%, fantastic.

Indosat, the second one will spend IDR 4,5T  (around US$470m) 2010, it also below the figure of 2009 (US$600m). This fund will be used mostly for 3G Based Transceiver Station expansion. Currently Indosat serves around 28.7m subscribers down around 19% from last year figures. For your information, besides cellular services Indosat also provides data services and fixed line services as well as international gateway service. The biggest contribution is still from cellular services (75%), followed by data services (15%) and fixed and international gateway (10%).

XL, the 3rd largest cellular operator will spend around US$450m for its capex in 2010. This figure is far below 2009 figure (US$ 600m). However, according to the CEO, Hasnul Suhaimi, the company financial is getting better. So with a company profits during 2009, XL plans to propose dividend at annual general share holder meeting.

Bakrie telecom, the 2nd largest CDMA opeartor in Indonesia plan a US$200m for its capex in 2009. This figures is equal to the 2008 and 2009 figures. Bakrie has planned US$600m expenditure for 2008-2010 or equal to US$200m per year.

No information was received from Axis and HCPT concerning thier capex for 2010. For your information Axis capex for 2009 was around US$500m.

From the figues above, we can see that almost all operators decreased their expenditures in 2010. Still in crisis? (data taken from various sources)

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Again, Indosat Reshuffles Director and Commissioners

Indosat, a second largest cellular operator in Indonesia just reshuffled its director and commissioners. Kaizad B Heerjee, a director from ST Telemedia was replaced by Laszlo Imre Barta. Kaizad will be officially inactive since May 2010. In board of commissioners, two of them were replaced. The independent commissioners, Setyanto P. Sentosa and Michael Latimer were replaced by Alexander Rusli and Chris Kanter respectively.

This is the second time of high level management reshuffled since Indosat bought by Qatar Telecom (QTel) on June 2008.  The first reshuffled was made on June 2009.

Below are the complete list Indosat board of directors up to 2012:

- Harry Sasongko Tirtotjondro, President Director and Chief Executive Officer (since August 11th, 2009)
- Peter Wladyslaw Kuncewicz, Director & Chief Finance Officer (since September 1st, 2009)
- Laszlo Imre Barta, Director and Chief Commercial Officer (effective April 30th, 2010)
- Stephen Edward Hobbs, Director and  Chief Technology Officer (since June 11th, 2009)
- Fadzri Sentosa, Director and  Chief Wholesale and Infrastructur Officer (since June 11th, 2009)
- Guntur S. Siboro, Chief Marketing Officer
- Syakieb A. Sungkar, Chief Sales Officer

And the board of commissioner up to  2012:
- H.E Sheikh Abdullah Mohammded S.A Al-Thani, Chief Commissioner
- Nasser Mohd. A. Marafih, Commissioner
- Richard Fansworth, Commissioner
- Rachmad Gobel, Commissioner
- Rionald Silaban, Commissioner
- Jarman,Commissioner
- Alexander Rusli, Independent Commissioner
- Soeprapto, Independent Commissioner
- Thia Peng Heok George, Independent Commissioner
- Chris Kanter, Independent Commissioner

Till the end of 2009, Indosat serves around 33.1 million subscribers and it is facing a tight competition from XL who try to be the second largest cellular operator in Indonesia.

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CDMA Operator Merged

As written since 2 years ago in several postings, such as in  “Indonesia cellular, too many carriers?” and CDMA Operator for Sale I have indicated that CDMA operators will merge to face the highest competition in cellular business in Indonesia. Currently, only 3 of 6 CDMA operators are keen to build their networks, they are Telkom Flexi, Bakrie Telecom Esia and Smart Telecom. The other three, Indosat Starone, Mobile-8 and Sampoerna Telekom were not excited in the their business development. There is a tend that the active operators will buy the non active ones.

On the last November 2009, Indonesia’s Sinar Mas Group (through its subsidiary, PT Gerbangmas Tunggal Sejahtera) has reportedly acquired a 19% stake in Indonesia’s PT Mobile-8 Telecom for IDR211.4 billion (USD22.5 million). PT Tunggal Sejahtera Gerbangmas bought the shares of PT Global Mediacom Tbk (BMTR) in PT Mobile-8 Telecom Tbk (FREN). Previously, the share of the BMTR was 28.21%.  So, PT Global Mediacom Tbk (owned by Hary Tanoesoedibjo) will become the minority share holder in Mobile-8. PT Global Mediacom Tbk was previously the majority share holder with 66,8% and they have sold some of them on September 2008.

Along with the purchase of these shares, the Sinar Mas group has placed its representative Mr. Henry Cratein Suryanaga as chief commissioner of PT Mobile-8. Meanwhile Sarwono Kusumaatmadja and Reynold M Batubara have been appointed and vice commissioner and independent commissioner respectively. The share holder meeting on last November also named the board of director of Mobile-8 i.e: Merza Fachys as CEO and other directors are:  Anthony C Kartawiria, Beydra Yendi, Agus Heryanto Lukas and Yopie Widjaya.

So, Smart Telecom and Mobile-8, both CDMA operators in Indonesia are in the same business group now, namely PT Sinar Mas.

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Cellular and FWA QoS 2009 Test Result

As informed by DG Postel, all cellular and FWA operators in Indonesia have passed the standard Quality of Service for the year of 2009. The measurement has been performed from July to August last year  in the six cities, namely: Jakarta, Bandung, Surabaya, Makasar, Medan and Batam.

As written in the previous post Indonesian Cellular QoS Rule, the measurement items are:   Call Center Service Level, Endpoint Service Availability which include call success rate, drop call and block call, and SMS service level.

Starting from 2010, Indonesian telecommunication regulator will fine operators which do not pass the standard quality of service.

Below are the measurement result.

Operator call Center drop call blocked call CSR SMS
Indosat GSM/3G 100% 0.32% 0.74% 98.94% 100%
Indosat StarOne 100% 0.54% 0.99% 98.46% 100%
Telkomsel 93.33% 0.42% 0.64% 98.94% 98.04%
Excelcom 96.67% 0.54% 2.85% 96.6% 100%
HCPT (3) 81.67% 0.64% 4.04% 95.32% 100%
NTS Axis 100% 0.50% 0.81% 98.69% 100%
M8 Fren 100% 0.61% 0.19% 99.20% 100%
M8 Hepi 100% 0.23% 0.12% 99.65% 100%
Smart Telecom 100% 3.37% 1.25% 95.38% 100%
Telkom Flexi 100% 0.55% 1.00% 98.45% 100%
Bakrie Esia 100% 0.54% 0.38% 99.07% 100%

Source: DG Postel
CSR: Call Success Rate
FWA: Fixed Wireless Access.

According to the data, Mobile-8, a CDMA operator, was the most performed network, both for Fren (cellular) and Hepi (FWA). Its total subscriber was only around 3m by the end of 2008.  Meanwhile, HCPT with its product call “3″, was the less perfromed network followed by Smart Telecom. HCPT is GSM/3G operator, while Smart Telecom is a CDMA operator.

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Amdocs barred from billing tender in Indonesia

The Indonesian Ministry of Communication and Information Technology announced last Tuesday that it is investigating telecommunications companies that do business with Israel.

This announcement came the day after the communication and information technology minister disclosed that Amdocs was being excluded from a local tender because the controlling shareholders are Israeli.

The Jakarta Globe reported that on Monday Communications and Information Technology Minister Tifatul Sembiring said that Amdocs should not be included in the billing tender of Indonesian cellular service provider Telkom PT because Amdocs has Israeli shareholders. A spokesman said the ministry will investigate Israeli-affiliated telecommunications companies and sanction those found to be in violation of the regulation.

Sembiring is a member of PKS, the conservative Islamic Prosperous Justice Party, and said excluding Amdocs from the tender was justified because Israel has no diplomatic relations with Indonesia.

The newspaper also noted the criticism from a local consumer organization, whose analyst called Sembiring’s action “irrelevant” and unwise. The analyst said that Israeli technology was commonly used in the information-technology sector because Israel is a major producer of high-tech components, and Indonesia imports 90% of the telecommunication parts used in the country.

“Many of these could be from Israeli manufacturers or come from companies with Israeli shareholders,” he said. “How about products from Taiwan? Many of our telecommunications products are from Taiwan – another country that does not have diplomatic relations with Indonesia.”  (taken from: Haaretz.com)

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Fine Rule Press Release

On January 16th this year, President Republic of Indonesia has signed a Presidential decree no 7 about Tariff and Type of Non-Tax State Income in the Department of Communication and Information. Similar with other rule or decree, this decree valid from the date of signing. With the enactment of this decree, the previous regulation, namely Regulation No. 28 Year 2005 on the same issue is revoked and declared invalid.

However, exceptions apply to administrative sanctions from the telecommunications operation, because Article 14 mentions in full, that the imposition of tariffs on the types of non-tax state revenue derived from the Organization of Post and Telecommunications such as: a. administrative sanctions in the form of fines for violations of the permit obligation telecommunications network administration and / or basic telephony services; and b. administrative sanctions in the form of fines for breach of obligation of the organization permit value-added telephony services and multimedia services, entered into force 1 (one) year after this Government Regulation set. Hence the imposition of sanctions fines began an effective force on the date of January 16, 2010.

Although previously announced as in press releases dated February 3, 2009, and yet through this press release, the regulator wants to remind the Regulation No. 7 year 2009 to the telecommunications providers so they can prepare themselves better before the enactment of the provisions of the fine sanctions. The consequences of the implementation of such regulation can significantly impact for the telecommunications rules violator.

Below are several important things on Regulation no 7 of year 2009.
1. Administrative sanctions for non-achievable development:
- less than 40% from commitment: IDR 600m
- between 41% to 70% from commitment: IDR 400m
- between 91% to 90% from commitment: IDR 200m
2. Sanction in the form of fine for not meeting service quality standards are set according to prevailing regulation, IDR 200m / item.
3. Sanctions in the form of fines for violations due to the absence of compliance with the provision of interconnection schedule (schedule process of the answer, schedule negotiation process, the process of providing access to schedules, etc.) as stipulated in the regulations, IDR 600m / item.
4. Sanctions in the form of fines for violation of price discrimination and interconnection access, IDR 10b.
5. Sanctions in the form of fines for violations of use of domestic products due to capital expenditures that do not meet the applicable provisions, 15% x (Cons Obligations)% x Capital Expenditures / year.
6. Sanctions in the form of fines for violations of the use of domestic production due to operational expenditures that do not meet the applicable provisions, 15% x (Cons Obligations)% x Operational Expenditures / year.
7. Does not meet the minimum services which must be provided, IDR 10m / service.

(translated from www.postel.go.id)

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